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Zoom Video: 2019 Analysis

Zoom Video Communications is a company with a valuation where logic is ignored, and any investor in the stock would need to get comfortable with this. The current valuation of $25 billion comes from a company with $546 million in revenue and EBITDA of $39 million this year. Zoom is expecting revenue of $129 million to $130 million with non-GAAP income of $2-$3 million. Q2 non-GAAP EPS is expected to be $0.01 to $0.02. One reason Zoom is demanding a high valuation is that the rapid revenue growth coupled with achieving profitability should create the perfect storm over the next few years.

According to Gartner, by 2022, 65 percent of meeting solutions users will take advantage of SIP/VoIP-based audio-conferencing tools. This is up from 20 percent in 2017 while 40 percent of meetings will be facilitated by virtual concierges and advanced analytics. The exact size for the video communications market varies considerably depending on the source – this is because the market is very new. According to research from Markets and Markets the video communications market is expected to grow an average of 8 percent a year to nearly $20 billion by 2023 with another report expecting that the industry will register a CAGR of 9.2 percent from 2018 to 2025. IDC, however, pegs Zoom’s future addressable market much higher at $43 billion, as cited in last quarter’s earnings call.



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One Comment

  1. Winson Liu Winson Liu

    @beth-technology, Would love your take on Zoom’s rise to success. A few years before their IPO, they were younger than Bluejeans in the race to being the best video conferencing solution in the world. Bluejeans had $175M with a Series E in 2015, while Zoom was only at around $70-80M. Can you share your perspective on what led to now very different outcomes between the two?

    Bluejeans was getting some top-notch enterprise contracts and then all of the sudden fell to Zoom after a while. So I’m curious to how you think things played out.

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